Ghana's egg and chicken buyers have about 2 months before the Christmas bill lands, and the farmers are already warning them. The Greater Accra Poultry Farmers Association says poultry prices will rise by at least 15% before December 25.
"Maybe not less than 15 per cent; we must see some price change," its chief executive, Mohammed Ali, said.
His reasons are all on the cost side. Maize, soya and the rest of the feed mix have got dearer. Freight charges are up. And most of the feed ingredients Ghanaian farms use are imported, so a jump in world grain prices or shipping rates ends up in the cost of every bird in an Accra coop.
The squeeze sits in the crate
Here's the awkward part for farmers. A crate of eggs leaves the farm gate at GH₵40 to GH₵45 today, according to the association. That's the same range it quoted in November 2025, when more than 38,000 unsold crates were piling up on members' farms. So nearly 12 months of higher feed bills haven't moved the farm-gate price at all.
Apply a 15% rise to that range and a crate goes to between GH₵46 and GH₵51.75 at the farm (STATART calculation). The top end is already above the GH₵50 retail ceiling Ali says shoppers shouldn't pay beyond.
That's why he's pointing at the middle of the chain. He says some traders add as much as GH₵20 a crate before eggs reach the shelf. On a GH₵40 crate that's a 50% markup; on a GH₵45 crate, 44% (STATART calculation). If farmers pass on 15% and traders keep their full margin, the Christmas crate could cost GH₵66 to GH₵72 at retail (STATART calculation).
A firmer cedi hasn't reached the feed bill
It's an odd year for an imported cost squeeze. Car dealers cut vehicle prices by 15% in February, citing a steadier cedi. Poultry farmers expect 15% the other way, which tells you feed and freight are rising faster than any currency gain can offset.
Nigerian egg farmers and feed millers, who buy the same maize and soya, have reason to watch how far Accra's prices climb in November.
Treat the 15% as a floor without a date on it. Whether the Christmas crate tops GH₵60 at retail will depend far more on traders' margins than on what farmers charge at the gate.
Figures are as reported at the time of writing. STATART news is written by Frank Brother (Markets), Christina Amgbari (Insights) and Ebipadei Joseph (Lifestyle), and checked before publication.